Thursday, May 22, 2025
What Are Fibonacci Retracements?
Imagine having a tool that helps you identify where the market might pause, bounce, or reverse—before it happens. A tool based not on guesswork or hunches, but on a pattern found in nature, music, art, and even the spiral of galaxies.
That tool exists. It's called the Fibonacci Retracement—and in the world of trading, it's one of the most respected and widely used technical analysis tools available.
If you've ever looked at a chart and wondered, "Where should I enter this trade?" or "Is this pullback over yet?"—this guide will show you how Fibonacci retracements can offer clarity when the market feels chaotic.
What Is a Fibonacci Retracement?
A Fibonacci retracement is a tool used in technical analysis to identify potential support and resistance levels during a price pullback. It is based on a series of numbers discovered by the 13th-century mathematician Leonardo Fibonacci.
These numbers produce ratios—like 0.236, 0.382, 0.500, 0.618, and 0.786—which traders apply to charts to predict where prices might retrace before continuing in the original direction.
In short:
✅ Price goes up → It pulls back → Fibonacci helps you guess where it might bounce
✅ Price goes down → It pulls back up → Fibonacci helps you guess where it might fall again
The Magic Behind the Numbers
Fibonacci numbers are found in nature—from flower petals to hurricanes. The most famous ratio, 0.618, also known as the “Golden Ratio”, appears in architecture, anatomy, and yes—financial markets.
These ratios are derived from dividing different Fibonacci numbers:
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21 ÷ 34 = 0.618
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13 ÷ 21 = 0.618
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34 ÷ 55 = 0.618
The other retracement levels are derived from these ratios. In trading, the most commonly used levels are:
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23.6%
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38.2%
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50% (not officially Fibonacci, but widely used)
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61.8%
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78.6%
How Do You Use Fibonacci Retracements?
It’s incredibly simple to draw a Fibonacci retracement on a chart:
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Identify a strong price move (either up or down)
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Draw the Fibonacci retracement tool from the swing low to swing high (uptrend) or swing high to swing low (downtrend)
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The tool will automatically display horizontal lines at the Fibonacci levels (23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, etc.)
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Watch how price reacts around those levels
These levels become potential support and resistance zones.
Practical Example: Fibonacci in an Uptrend
Let’s say a stock goes from $100 to $150—a $50 move up.
You plot a Fibonacci retracement from the low at $100 to the high at $150.
The retracement levels will be:
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23.6% → $138.20
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38.2% → $130.90
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50% → $125.00
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61.8% → $119.10
These become potential bounce zones if the price begins to pull back.
Fibonacci Retracement in Action: A Real Market Example
Imagine Ethereum just surged from $1,800 to $2,400.
You use the Fibonacci retracement tool:
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Start at $1,800 (swing low)
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End at $2,400 (swing high)
Fibonacci retracement levels might show:
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23.6% = $2,260
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38.2% = $2,130
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50.0% = $2,100
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61.8% = $1,970
If Ethereum pulls back, these are areas where buyers might step in—and you can plan your entries around them.
Why Fibonacci Retracement Works (Even If It Sounds Like Magic)
Traders around the world watch these levels. They become self-fulfilling:
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Large institutions set limit orders at Fibonacci levels
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Retail traders place stops and targets near them
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Algorithms are programmed to respond to them
It’s not about mysticism—it’s about mass psychology and consistent behavior.
How to Trade with Fibonacci Retracements
There’s more than one way to use this tool, depending on your trading style:
1. Bounce Strategy (Support/Resistance)
Use Fibonacci retracement levels as buy zones in uptrends or sell zones in downtrends.
Buy Setup (Uptrend):
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Price rises, then pulls back
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Wait for it to hit a key Fibonacci level (38.2%, 50%, or 61.8%)
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Confirm with a candlestick pattern (e.g. hammer, engulfing candle)
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Enter long with a stop just below the next Fibonacci level
Sell Setup (Downtrend):
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Price drops, then pulls back
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Watch for reversal around 38.2%, 50%, or 61.8%
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Enter short with stop above next Fibonacci level
2. Confluence Strategy
Look for Fibonacci levels that align with:
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Horizontal support/resistance
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Moving averages (e.g. 50 EMA, 200 SMA)
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Trendlines
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Previous price action zones
This increases the chance of a successful trade.
3. Breakout Strategy
When price breaks through a Fibonacci level, it may retest it before continuing.
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Use Fibonacci to set targets after a breakout
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Use 0% (swing high) and project the same % move (Fibonacci extension)
Fibonacci Extensions vs. Retracements
Retracements are for pullbacks
Extensions are for projecting future price targets
Example:
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Price goes from $100 → $150 → pulls back to $125 (50% retracement)
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You expect next wave up → use Fibonacci extensions (e.g. 161.8%) to project target at $180+
How to Combine Fibonacci With Other Indicators
Fibonacci works best when you use it alongside other tools:
🔹 RSI (Relative Strength Index)
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Use to confirm overbought/oversold at retracement levels
🔹 MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence)
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Look for momentum shifts or crossovers at key Fibonacci zones
🔹 Candlestick Patterns
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Strong signals like pin bars, engulfing, or dojis help validate retracement levels
🔹 Volume
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Rising volume at a Fibonacci bounce? Strong confirmation.
Common Mistakes to Avoid
⚠️ Using Fibonacci in isolation
→ Always confirm with price action or other indicators.
⚠️ Forcing levels on weak trends
→ Only use Fibonacci after a clear impulse move.
⚠️ Assuming all levels will hold
→ Sometimes price slices through levels. Use stops and confirmations.
Fibonacci in Different Markets
Forex – One of the most popular tools in currency trading, especially during trend pullbacks
Crypto – Extremely useful in volatile assets like Bitcoin, Ethereum, etc.
Stocks – Great for swing trading and identifying correction levels
Indices – Helps find buy-the-dip or sell-the-rip opportunities
Should You Trust Fibonacci?
Yes—but don’t worship it. Fibonacci retracement is a tool, not a crystal ball. It works best:
✅ In trending markets
✅ When combined with confluence
✅ When backed by price confirmation
If you respect it—not rely on it blindly—it can become a powerful ally in your trading journey.
Real-Life Use Case: Swing Trade Setup
Let’s say you’re trading Apple stock:
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It surged from $150 → $180
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You want to catch the pullback
Steps:
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Apply Fibonacci retracement from $150 (low) to $180 (high)
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The 50% level is $165
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Price drops to $165 and forms a bullish engulfing candle
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RSI hits 40, signaling potential reversal
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You enter long at $166, stop at $160, target $185
This is how pros trade retracements with logic, not guesswork.
Final Thoughts
Fibonacci retracements aren’t a holy grail—but they’re one of the smartest ways to understand market pullbacks. They give you a framework to time your trades, reduce risk, and find high-probability entries.
Whether you're new to trading or already seasoned, mastering Fibonacci retracement will make you more confident, more strategic, and more profitable.
Now that you understand the “why” and “how,” it’s time to open your charts and practice drawing them yourself. That’s where the magic begins.
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